00000cam a22000003i 4500 UP-1685594773862467353 Buklod 20250228131214.0 m | | ta 250228t2007 xx r |||| u|eng d (iLib)UPBAG-00046436197 BAG rda eng ARTICLE-4596 Lebo, Matthew J. author. The PM and the pendulum dynamic forecasting of British elections. 2007. pages 71-87 23 cm text rdacontent unmediated rdamedia volume rdacarrier We apply a dynamic perspective to forecasting votes and seats in British elections. Our vote model captures the swing of the electoral pendulum between the two major parties while using prime ministerial approval as the (sole) short-run predictor of vote choice. Elections Great Britain. Norpoth, Helmut author. British Journal of Political Science Vol. 37, part 1 (January 2007), pages 71-87. FO UPBAG UPBAG-MAIN ARTICLE-4596 Book