The PM and the pendulum dynamic forecasting of British elections.
We apply a dynamic perspective to forecasting votes and seats in British elections. Our vote model captures the swing of the electoral pendulum between the two major parties while using prime ministerial approval as the (sole) short-run predictor of vote choice.
| Argitaratua izan da: | British Journal of Political Science Vol. 37, part 1 (January 2007), pages 71-87. |
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| Egile Nagusiak: | , |
| Formatua: | Liburua |
| Hizkuntza: | English |
| Argitaratua: |
2007.
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| Gaiak: |