00000caa a22000003i 4500 UP-1685594773862388551 Buklod 20210318152158.0 m | | ta 210318s2018 xx r |||| u|eng d (iLib)UPBAG-00039513742 STII-DOST BAG rda eng ARTICLE-2738 de Lara-Tuprio, Elvira P. author. Marikina flood hazard models using historical data of water level by Elvira P. de Lara-Tuprio, Evangeline P. Bautista, Reginaldo M. Marcelo, Ramil T. Bataller, Divino Angelo B. Esteban, and Yvanne Paolo B. Yutuc. 2018. pages 373-382 color illustration, map 26 cm text rdacontent unmediated rdamedia volume rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references (page 382) In this paper, ten-year historical data of water levels recorded at Sto. Niño, Marikina station of MMDA-EFCOS were analysed and processed to determine the number of times per year (annual frequency) that critical levels of the Marikina River near the Sto. Niño station were reached and for how long (duration). Probability distributions for the annual frequency and duration were then fitted to the samples obtained. Monte Carlo simulation was applied in order to generate possible realizations of the random variables. Summary statistics were then obtained from the simulated values. Finally, backtesting using historical data of water levels after the period of model development was performed to check the validity of the models. The results showed that the models obtained were reliable. The results of this study may be used to guide the local government of Marikina in planning the needed resources in order to sufficiently respond in times of flooding incidents. Engineering. Annual frequency. Flood. Monte carlo simulation. Probability distribution. Bautista, Evangeline P. author. Marcelo, Reginaldo M. athor. Bataller, Ramil T. author. Esteban, Divino Angelo B. author. Yutuc, Yvanne Paolo B. author. The Philippine Journal of Science Vol. 147, no. 3, September 2018. Request full-text access via UPB University Library through https://forms.gle/KZjBv7aRtY6jiL5E9 (viewed 18 March 2021) FI UPBAG UPBAG-MAIN ARTICLE-2738 Analytics